Friday, December 29, 2017

Saint Thomas Becket

Thomas Becket

The Catholic take: Thomas Becket, Saint

Some commentary from Thermidor with an eye towards the current political stuggle:
The Roman Church, of course, does not have a monopoly of social justice doctrine: indeed, the Social Gospel movement probably had far more influence on the contemporary Social Justice movement than the Roman Popes, but the Popes nevertheless belong to a more clearly uninterrupted inheritance of the Western Christian intellectual tradition of natural law from Aquinas forward, meaning their adoption of a Leviathan-based understanding of social justice is of profound significance, and puts the lie to many contemporary claims about the significance of Vatican II in modernizing Rome.

Without fear of contradiction, we may say that the profoundest influence on Social Justice doctrine comes not from Rome, but the Baptist preacher Walter Rauschenbach. Rauschenbach has something of a colourful history that many of his admirers use to life him up as a sage of reason, but his significance to our purposes is the invention of “institutionalized sinfulness” – the notion that institutions and corporate entities share as individuals in the inherited guilt of Original Sin and therefore must be redeemed just as individuals are redeemed through lived purposive action. It was in the wake of the Second World War, with the redefinition of good and evil in the wake of the World Wars, that the sensibilities of the pre-War Social Gospel movement met the lay movements that were deliberately intended to have grown out of Rerum Novarum, Quadragesima Anno, and Divini Redemptoris, and were helped along by the constitutions issued by Vatican II. The result was Dorothy Day and Cesar Chavez in the United States and neo-Marxist Liberation Theology in South America.

The Vatican has been very successful in suppressing Liberation Theology in the Hispanic world; what it has not done, however, is eradicated the assumption of institutionalized sinfulness—the idea that institutions need to be purified and redeemed through action (far worse, the idea that institutions can be purified or redeemed by fallen man). This has manifested in the approach taken by Roman Catholics in the wake of the sexual abuse scandals—the result has been for the laity to “walk away from the Church”, that is, to abandon the institution, and the broader movement among the narrative-makers is that the institution must change and must correct itself. Believers insist that “the Church left us”—but clerical abuse is by no means new in the Roman Church. Certainly, pederasty and sodomy have not been historically significant phenomena, but murder, theft, bigamy, and adultery—these were common. They were so common, in fact, that they quite nearly caused a schism between Rome and London during the reign of Henry II and gave England one of her greatest saints, Thomas Becket. There was no mass exodus from the Church, no questioning of the institution of Church or Crown—only questions about the Pope and King Henry themselves.

It is true that part of the reason no schism took place was that there were no real alternatives to the Roman church in England, as there would be when another King Henry entered a conflict with the Papacy, but there was also a distinct difference in the mind of the English. With a healthy and active system of communal justice, whereby offending priests were punished by the community if they were not handled by ecclesiastic authorities, ordinary Englishmen were by and large untouched by the dispute between King and Pope. To them, the Church constituted an eternal body, subject to changing human powers, but, like the monarchy, not to change—and, furthermore, an incorrupt body, which might be helmed by evil and corrupt men, but would never cease to be what it had been instituted to be by God. Institutions of this nature were not just incorrupt, but incorruptible.

Social Justice is utterly dependant on precisely the opposite view—that no institution is incorruptible, and, indeed, institutions are more corrupt than fallen humans. Revolution, then, and not stability, becomes the rule of history—in order that justice might be served, the institution itself must be fundamentally altered. Furthermore, groups and individuals therefore succeed and fail not on the virtue of the cohesion of the group or the competence of the individual, but by virtue of the power of the institutions which are perceived as obstacles. Worse, when individuals are turned against their group because its institutions are perceived as corrupt or destructive, the only means whereby communal justice can direct social justice is lost. Spurious concepts like “racism”, “sexism”, and the plethora of social phobias that have arisen in the last half-century have been institutionalized in the minds of the narrative-makers, manifesting the sinfulness of institutions, and dismantling most of the framework for social justice to function in a communal manner.

This new Social Justice doctrine is defined by the absence of stability—for it must be constantly changing, constantly repenting, constantly altered, with each new manifestation of sinfulness: redemption, for the progressive, is only possible through revolution. With the implosion of systems of communal justice due to the inevitable meddling of the Leviathan State, this new, redefined Social Justice increases social instability, with new fragmenting groups seeking their just due emerging continuously until one arrives at the Current Year. Such phenomena cannot help but accelerate, either: Social Justice will by its very nature continue to spiral into absurdity because it cannot overcome the inherent imperfection of a human institution, and it must end either in absolute tyranny of power or complete social paralysis and collapse.

Thursday, December 28, 2017

Max Boot Preen, Preen, Preens! in Foreign Policy

Max Boot writes in Foreign Policy: 2017 Was the Year I Learned About My White Privilege

Steve Sailer comments: Mr. Invade the World / Invite the World Discovers White Privilege Under Trump
Well, live and learn. A quarter century is enough time to examine deeply held shibboleths and to see if they comport with reality. … In the last few years, in particular, it has become impossible for me to deny the reality of discrimination, harassment, even violence that people of color and women continue to experience in modern-day America from a power structure that remains for the most part in the hands of straight, white males. People like me, in other words.

But not exactly like me.

In case you missed it, here's Tucker Carlson taking apart Max Boot in under 10 minuets. Although he isn't responding to the article above, Tucker rebutted Boot back in September: "to dismiss people who disagree with you as immoral, as is your habit, isn't a useful form of debate, it's a kind of moral preening..."

Feast of the Holy Innocents

Tuesday, December 26, 2017

Wednesday, December 20, 2017

Merry Christmas


Conquest's Second Law Hits Homeschooling

It's not clear that HSLDA has turned progressive, but it is easy to see how it gets there from here.

HSLDA Wrong on Race in Homeschooling
Homeschool graduate and bow-tied master’s student in philosophy Philip Pugh penned the article in order to dispel the “myths” mentioned at the outset of this Faith and Heritage article: that homeschooling is the creation of white Christians, for white Christians, and that its future existence is handcuffed to the success of its founding demographic. If that last statement sounds familiar, it’s because it is no different from the thesis underlying much of the Alt Right: that the success and survival of Western civilization depends on the success and survival of Western peoples. If you want the fruit, tend to the root.

In his article, Pugh unfortunately subscribed to that cuckservative theory of “the less white it is, the more biblical it must be” in lauding statistics that show a declining rate of participation by whites in homeschooling, and a rise in non-white participation. According to the U.S. Department of Education National Center for Education Statistics the sheer numbers of homeschoolers is on the rise — from 850,000 in 1999 to 1,773,000 in 2012. Those same statistics show that the white share in homeschooling dropped from 75% in 1999 to 68% in 2012. Conversely, the Hispanic share rose from 9% in 1999 to 15% in 2012. To Pugh, this is great news, and is evidence that homeschooling is really catching on in the ‘hood and barrio. In fact, to make sure their readers didn’t miss this feel-good factoid, the magazine’s editors and graphic designer splashed Pugh’s claim across the page in huge font — next to a stock picture of a smiling non-white family, of course.
Seen at "This Week in Reaction"

Robert Conquest's law is always in effect. If an organization isn't explicitly right-wing, it will be converged. And even if you convince right-wingers that this law is correct, they will reject having explicit political rules because most believe in universalism. Failing to see that universalism is a utopian, left-wing idea on Earth.

Friday, December 15, 2017

Wednesday, December 13, 2017

We Need a Softcoin

The Austrian School and hard money advocates want hard money, that's why they like gold and Bitcoin:

The difference between hard money and soft money is that people are always happy to take hard money, not so happy to take soft money. Always willing to give you soft money for hard money, not so keen to give you hard money for soft money.
Hard money isn't popular because people want to borrow in soft money. And since nearly everyone borrows, he who controls the soft money controls the world. I don't know what percent of the people really want hard money, but I'd guess it is not more than 20%. Most people do not save for the long-term. Is that a consequence of living under debt money for a century or hardwired attitudes? I can't deny that credit money system is degenerate. It is hyperinflation in slow motion. That said, it's the system we have.

Anyone who goes into debt wants soft money. If you are the sovereign and you have absolute power, you can enforce a hard money system. If you do not have absolute political control, then the soft money crowd will eventually win a victory, and get soft money monetized, and then it's all downhill from there. You can't ever go back because it will cause an economic collapse. Monetary resets usually happen after hyperinflation, and that often comes during or at the end of a war.

A Bitcoin miner can take out a 100 Bitcoin mortgage (when Bitcoin was $1,000) and not worry about repaying his now $1.7 million mortgage because he mines Bitcoins. But a moron who borrowed 100 Bitcoins is now comically insolvent and his lender owns a $125,000 house instead of $1.7 million worth of Bitcoin.

If you want to live in the dollar system, but have hard money alternatives, the best you can hope for is Bitcoin and gold get treated as money for tax purposes, as in no taxes. Your gains cannot be taxed, your losses cannot offset your income.

If you want to try for a monetary kill shot, you need a soft currency. What would that look like? In cryptcurrency, it might operate as upfront inflation. Create a cryptocurrency software that everyone wants to have on their devices because everyone running the app is "gifted" a certain amount of crypto. (Bitcoin pays out a block to the winning miner. "Softcoin" would pay out a flat rate to everyone running the software, plus a bonus to the winning miner or the largest stakers.) As more users get onto the system, coin issuance would increase proportionally. Inflation would be limited organically by the number of users. If everyone is running the app, it will scale and transactions will be fast. Since the amount of coins are always going up, the exchange rate with Bitcoin will go down over time, and maybe even decline slightly against USD, in which case it will make sense to borrow in it instead of USD. And then the banks come to you and want to get in on your currency.

If someone doesn't invent "Softcoin," a government or central bank will. It makes too much sense, especially in a deeply indebted democracy addicted to welfare. We are in a period of stagnation because the credit money system expanded to its natural limit. More debt cannot be forced into the system. Debt must be devalued or defaulted on.

There is very little fiat money in the U.S. money supply. It is mostly debt, more than 90%. Most people looking ahead expect the U.S. government will start repaying credit money (Treasury debt) with new fiat dollars. The Federal Reserve doesn't print fiat money, it creates debt notes that it swaps for bonds. In order for the Fed to "print money", it needs a huge borrower to sell it lots of bonds. The only borrower capable of inflating the credit supply enough to generate significant price inflation in the wider economy is USG.

Add in the "bonus" of the public blockchain that reveals all economic activity to the government.

Bitcoin (as opposed to cryptocurrency in general) isn't a threat to the U.S. dollar. It is probably a threat to gold, although the overlap between the markets is probably small. And gold isn't a threat to the dollar because it's controlled by the futures market, which is settled in USD. What launched this week? Bitcoin futures.
Newly launched bitcoin futures on Monday suggested that traders expect the cryptocurrency’s blistering price gains to slow in the coming months, even as it blasted above $17,000 to a fresh record high in the spot market.
This isn't a conspiracy. It's the power of soft money.

Gresham's Law says bad money drives out good money. If you want to replace the dollar, you have to make something that's a little bit worse.

Tuesday, December 12, 2017

Russia Collusion Crimes May Blow Watergate Away

In October I thought the Russia story was getting : Bigger Than Watergate.

Once we learned the Russia dossier was created by opposition research and was potentially used to obtain warrants, the question then became: what did they know, and when did they know it?

If the Obama administration and various agencies including the FBI used the Russia dossier as evidence for a FISA warrant to spy on a political opponent during an election, it is the greatest political scandal in American history. It is basically your worst nightmare scenario out of a Hollywood movie. There aren't too many crimes against a political opponent that are bigger than this. Arresting an opponent based on false evidence is the next step, followed by state sanctioned murder. Democrats are trying to impeach President Trump and presumably arrest him for non-existent crimes...

We're used to Republicans rolling over and playing dead. But Trump uncucked the GOP, and probably a generational shift plays a role as Generation X moves into power. The Congressman who said this last week was born in 1964:
"Here's what I think Director Wray. I think Peter Strzok, head of counter intelligence at the FBI, Peter Strzok the guy who ran the Clinton investigation and did all the interviews, Peter Strzok, the guy who was running the Russia investigation at the FBI, Peter Strzok, Mr. 'Super Agent' at the FBI, I think he's the guy who took the application to the FISA court...and if that happened...if you have the FBI working with the Democrats' campaign, taking opposition research, dressing it all up and turning it into an intelligence document and taking it to the FISA court so they can spy on the other campaign...if that happened...that's as wrong as it gets."
He's not speaking in hyperbole there.

It's possible this didn't happen, or at least everyone can play dumb and nothing much comes of it.

It's possible this did happen, and Strzok takes one for the team, although probably others will go to jail over this because it's such a big story. But if that happens, it's a smoking gun. And few will believe the head of FBI counterintelligence decides by himself, with no help, to turn most of the government's intelligence apparatus against a political opponent during an election. A smoking gun will open up the entire Democrat Party establishment to investigation, including Obama administration officials.

With anyone else in office, I'd bet the Democrats get away with it. With Trump, I'll bet on major investigations. An independent counsel (or counsels) with wide latitude (because we know how these investigations go) will put a healthy chunk of the Democrat party leadership under threat of prosecution. And Trump will have the political power to purge the FBI and intelligence agencies of appointees going back to Clinton administration to get the stink out.

Finally, as we see with the #MeToo witch hunt, once there's a chance of advancement, the narrative gains support from ambitious climbers. The dirt will flow.

Maybe it's nothing. Maybe the Democrats will win political advantage and complete their coup. Maybe they'll change the narrative to "Move on, why are we still talking about the debunked Russia story?" But there is a lot of smoke billowing out of DC and we can catch a glimpse of still smoldering embers. If there's a fire, the scandal is orders of magnitude larger than Watergate. It has no precedent in American history. We'll have to dig through political thriller novels or foreign history to find comparable events.

Monday, December 11, 2017

How Much Bitcoin Do "Nazis" Hodl?

I can't find the tweet, but someone sent one around showing SJWs tracking Bitcoin addresses that donate to Alt-Right causes. Bitcoin is anonymous, but also public, thus your anon address can be "blacklisted" based on where it sends coins.

This could also presumably be used to figure out how many coins are held by the Alt-Right and various other social groups, since it is all 100% public information.

Which reminds me of a description of the Saudis and Wahhabism from Bernard Lewis I believe. Explaining how fundamentalist, jihadist Islam spread, he said imagine members of the KKK owned all the land containing oil in Texas.

In this case, the Bitcoin wealthy are most likely libertarians or former libertarians. I learned of Bitcoin back in 2010. I can't remember if it was discussed in the comments at a neoreactionary blog or a liberatarian one, but there was much cross pollination.

In the past couple of years came problems with funding the Alt-Right and a desire for anonymity. Presumably a bunch of these folks got involved.

Back in 2010 you could mine coins with a CPU. Just run the wallet. A 50 coin block is worth about $800,000 right now.

Presumably, libertarian/neoreactionary/alt-right causes will see a major uptick in funding over the next few years. Assuming the price stabilizes.

My view on the current mania: the blockchain is more important than Bitcoin itself. Although there's reason to think Bitcoin might be the "gold standard" for cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin definitely looks like a speculative bubble. If the price goes to $1 million and settles at $100,000, you will say I am wrong, but we can't see across the Event Horizon. That's why it is speculative. Internet stocks were a speculative bubble in 2000, but the Internet is still here, and you made money if you bought survivors such as Amazon. Housing was a speculative bubble in 2005.

Bitcoin's value is impossible to predict because it is based solely on future demand. Speculative demand is high in the expectation that there will be massive future demand from savers. This is why Bitcoin is a bubble. But Bitcoin will always be a bubble, like gold, because there is little intrinsic value. Gold has some industrial use and jewelry demand, but monetary demand exceeds it. Also, if the price of gold exceeds platinum, demand for platinum jewelry might increase, or industrial substitutes are found. But the monetary demand for gold goes up because like Bitcoin and other financial assets, the higher the price, the higher the demand.

Tuesday, December 05, 2017

Anti-State Department, Distributed Intelligence Network

The Presidency could get a little more imperial soon, if Trump is really working on an Anti-State Department and Distributed Intelligence Network.

“Pompeo can’t trust the CIA bureaucracy, so we need to create this thing that reports just directly to him,” said a former senior U.S. intelligence official with firsthand knowledge of the proposals, in describing White House discussions. “It is a direct-action arm, totally off the books,” this person said, meaning the intelligence collected would not be shared with the rest of the CIA or the larger intelligence community. “The whole point is this is supposed to report to the president and Pompeo directly.”

Oliver North, who appears frequently on Trump’s favorite TV network, Fox News, was enlisted to help sell the effort to the administration. He was the “ideological leader” brought in to lend credibility, said the former senior intelligence official.

Some of the individuals involved with the proposals secretly met with major Trump donors asking them to help finance operations before any official contracts were signed.

The proposals would utilize an army of spies with no official cover in several countries deemed “denied areas” for current American intelligence personnel, including North Korea and Iran. The White House has also considered creating a new global rendition unit meant to capture terrorist suspects around the world, as well as a propaganda campaign in the Middle East and Europe to combat Islamic extremism and Iran.
Sounds like meme-warriors could sign on for the last bit.

Nations and leaders seldom choose decline. They deal with various symptoms of a deeper, underlying problem, and their short-term actions eventually become part of the next step lower. Rome's temporary dictatorship eventually became permanent. In the U.S., the Deep State runs the American government. The "resistance" within the bureaucracy is the Deep/Permanent State revealing it has grown far apart from the public and will no longer submit to the will of the people. Therefore, the President will begin operating outside the control of this bureaucracy. Trump's move is logical.

An Anti-State Department will undermine the State Department. A Distributed Intelligence Network will counteract the Central Intelligence Agency. Trump's retweets of anti-Islamic propaganda videos is exactly what a private spy network would be engaged in when it comes to propaganda. The State Department controlled governments in the United Kingdom, Sweden and Germany will put out pro-Islamic propaganda, the Anti-State Department will counteract it. The State Department tries to undermine the Hungarian government, the Anti-State Department will support it.

Since it has an ideological component, a private spy network will likely exist separately from USG beyond the Trump presidency. The network won't become the Imperial President's tool, but a Shadow Government that the next right-wing President could tap. In a good outcome, the network is eventually merged with the Deep State and harmony is restored. Or USG is eventually infiltrated, with future presidents expediting the careers of the Shadow State.

A private spy network is to the CIA as Bitcoin is to the U.S. Dollar. Power is being redistributed from large, centralized states to decentralized groups. When Great Powers are allied, such as the United States and Russia in Syria, a decentralized state such as ISIS will be crushed. Where they are in opposition, they will undermine each other using non-state actors.

Thursday, November 30, 2017

Blanco Fuera

The New Redemption Of Ham

Progressive messaging in America is an inversion of this Blanqueamiento idea. The concept of the old slave’s sins being washed away with the birth of a baby accepted as white by society has been repackaged as the sins of the white born with racial original sin being washed away with the birth of a non-white child. Absent in the progressive message is a strong push for the glories of an American identity. While Brazil was forging a Brazilian national ethos, a desire to destroy the native American identity drives the progressives.

This is a self-defeating feature within this religious message. There is no utopia being created in this act. This is not spun as positive creation, but deletion. It is merely penance for the evil legacy Americans and destruction of the national conception.
Not Ennegrecimiento, but Blancofuera.

Adios Black Male Democrats Too?

The Congressional Black Caucus is cracking too.

Tradition Dies Hard
Even the San Francisco Chronicle has sided with the white women. This must all be very confusing indeed for a tired old man.

But dealing with such things are why the left has tired old women. And thus the burden has fallen to Nancy Pelosi to try to navigate the democrats’ minority ship through the cervical straits. Her crew has thus far not been uniformly impressed.

Ahh well, sorry black males. The halcyon days were bound to end eventually. And if you think this demotion is insulting, wait until whites aren’t in charge. Nobody knows the trouble you’ll see.

Adios White Male Democrats

The day of the white male Democrat is over. Celebrate! Love wins! Diversity is our greatest strength!

Christina Hoff Summers is worried this could turn into an anti-male witch hunt.
Farhad Manjoo at the New York Times says he has reached the point where "I seriously, sincerely wonder how all women don't regard all men as monsters to be constantly feared." Does Manjoo include himself? Are his female colleagues at the Times suddenly in constant fear of him?

Niobe Way, a psychology professor at NYU, told NPR that the only way to address the harassment blight is to resocialize little boys: "We essentially raise boys in a culture that asks them to disconnect from their core humanity."

The panic has even struck the Girl Scouts, who warned parents that their daughters don't "owe anyone a hug" this holiday season. Parents who insist a little girl give grandma or grandpa a hug for a present can set her up to believe "she 'owes' another person physical affection because they bought her something."
If you thought the poz in schools and media was bad before...but other than psychological torture for young boys, the left's "moral" panic is all roses. Millennial feminists mixing Victorian ideas about sex with Cultural Marxism, feeding off of SJWs running anti-male, anti-white protocols, slamming into Black Democrats with their own sexual misconduct skeletons waiting in the wings. It's a perpetual motion machine.

The Left is always hunting for its political enemies because the Left is always overturning traditional/accepted social status (permanent revolution). The monkey games only go in one direction, barring a break in action caused by brutal purges or loss of power. The white male Democrats wound up this toy, and now it is going to continue until it runs out of energy. Or bodies.

This city is afraid of me...I have seen its true face. The streets are extended gutters and the gutters are full of blood and when the drains finally scab over, all the vermin will drown. The accumulated filth of all their sex and murder will foam up about their waists and all the whores and politicians will look up and shout "Save us!"... and I'll look down and whisper "No." They had a choice, all of them. They could have followed in the footsteps of good men like my father or President Truman. Decent men who believed in a day's work for a day's pay. Instead they followed the droppings of lechers and communists and didn't realize that the trail led over a precipice until it was too late. Don't tell me they didn't have a choice. Now the whole world stands on the brink, staring down into bloody Hell, all those liberals and intellectuals and smooth-talkers... and all of a sudden nobody can think of anything to say.

Friday, November 17, 2017

David Brooks Stares Into Reaction

Our Elites Still Don’t Get It
Freedom without covenant becomes selfishness. And that’s what we see at the top of society, in our politics and the financial crisis. Freedom without connection becomes alienation. And that’s what we see at the bottom of society — frayed communities, broken families, opiate addiction. Freedom without a unifying national narrative becomes distrust, polarization and permanent political war.

People can endure a lot if they have a secure base, but if you take away covenantal attachments they become fragile. Moreover, if you rob people of their good covenantal attachments, they will grab bad ones. First, they will identify themselves according to race. They will become the racial essentialists you see on left and right: The only people who can really know me are in my race. Life is a zero-sum contest between my race and your race, so get out.
Brooks sees the problem is big. What he doesn't yet see is that the Alt-Right, Neoreaction and the rest is mostly a tragic figure in his mostly accurate conception. The Right isn't out there cheering for racialism. Instead, it accepts that the very liberal things David Brooks would like to save are largely influenced by race and, crucially, ethnicity. The evidence of voting patterns suggests Irish, Nords and Southern European didn't assimilate for at least a century, and their assimilation was mostly reverse-assimilation. America has moved so far left that New Deal Democrats now land on the right. The new immigrants lack even basic shared values such as Christianity and rule of law. They aren't pulling Anglo-America in a more Continential/Statist direction. They're pulling America apart.

That's why there's a red pill and the accurately termed Dark Enlightenment. A key flaw in liberalism (looks like this word is back to original meaning among the educated set) is the blank slate/universalism, the idea that liberalism is for everyone instead of a peculiar cultural institution native to the British Isles. Many cultures may have forms of liberalism, but what we in the Anglo-Americas understand as liberty is not what exists in most parts of the world, even if we would correctly drop them into the "free" category. (The libertarian, anarcho-capitalist nirvana of Somalia being the most extreme example.)

For the sake of argument, perhaps Brooks is right and we're wrong. There's no Blank Slate, but HBD is less deterministic than we understand. Brooks would have a compelling argument to sell the dissident Right, which even at its most reactionary is still more liberal than most of the world (culture!)— if we had time for a debate. But as I said, the Right is the tragic figure. There is no time, Mr. Brooks. To borrow from the five levels of Maslow's hierarchy (survival, safety, belonging, esteem/status, self-actualization), Brooks is on level 3 or 4, the progressives are on level 5 in cloud cuckoo land, the right is on level 2 and worried this is actually a level 1 existential crisis at civilization scale.
History is full of examples of nations that built new national narratives, revived family life, restored community bonds and shared moral culture: Britain in the early 19th century, Germany after World War II, America in the Progressive Era. The first step in launching our own revival is understanding that the problem is down in the roots.
Oh no.

Wednesday, November 15, 2017

Eliminate SALT Deductions

How cucked is the GOP? We are about to find out. Going into this tax battle, the GOP said it would eliminate all state and local tax deduction as part of tax simplification. The removal of deductions will be offset by higher standard deductions. Only taxpayers in extreme situations, such as California, New York and New Jersey, aka "the rich" and the Democrats, would likely lose on this.

An aside on "the rich." Many people are "wealthy" thanks to their largest illiquid asset: their house. The median home price in New Jersey is $300,000 vs $150,000 in Tennessee. If the term rich means anything, it means wealthy in assets, and in that case, anyone who is middle class in places such as NYC are rich when compared the rest of America. They may live close to the edge because the cost of living is high, by they always have the option of selling a $1 million home and moving upstate/down south into a nice $300,000 home. The same person in rural Tennessee, or even urban Nashville, is never making that switch to NYC unless it's for employment.

President Trump cucked for the Democrats on state and local tax (SALT) deductions, assuming he's not playing politics. The House put property tax deductions in their bill. The normally cucked Senate went harder and eliminated property tax deductions and threw in an Obamacare mandate repeal (!). Playing with SALT is good short-term strategy because those high-tax states want it bad. Assuming the GOP is cucked, but not retarded, the Senate has now given the House a bargaining chip to trade for votes and the final bill will include property tax deductions.

If you have low time preference though, you eliminate SALT completely without batting an eye. The net present value is highly positive. In the short-run, there could be pain at the ballot box for House and Senate Republicans in blue states. However, there is also immediate pain for Democrats at the state and local level because they'll have to reform or cut taxes if they want to ease the higher tax burden. (It also sets up a rich white asian Dem vs poor black hispanic Dem fight in states such as California.) At the national level, once SALT is gone it is never coming back. How will Democrats pass a tax cut for the rich of California, New York and New Jersey, while attacking Republican tax cuts for the rich at the same time? They can try, but it is a rhetorical fail.

To summarize:

Permanently shift the tax burden to high tax states "that can afford to pay higher taxes" (utilizing Dem rhetoric)
Create demand for tax reform or lower taxes at the state level, which favors the GOP and fractures Dems
Take a one-time GOP electoral hit in blue states
That becomes permanent Democrat electoral albatross if they ever bring it up again

War is the continuation of politics by other means. Democrats understand this; Republicans do not. If they surprise and end up eliminating SALT deductions, the sweet taste of victory might be enough to red pill a few of them.

Wednesday, November 01, 2017

St. Louis Fed: Good Case for QE Being Detrimental

The Fed was supposed to start reducing its balance sheet in October (but did it?). As the exit from quantitative easing takes effect, there's uncertainty as to the results. The end of QE 1, 2 and 3 all saw financial market declines and drops in interest rates. Although the goal of QE was to lower rates, it actually raised interest rates. QE pushed investors out of bonds and into riskier assets such as stocks. It increased the "animal spirits." A reversal of QE should produce a larger negative result and a new low in bond yields, if the pattern holds.

That's assuming QE itself didn't harm the economy. It's possible that QE suppressed credit growth by taking high quality assets (U.S. Treasuries) out of the financial system. (Banks use treasuries as collateral for derivatives, USTs are the high octane fuel for ultra-leverage.) What isn't known is how large the effect might be. If it was significant, the reversal of quantitative easing will increase credit growth and interest rates. The Fed thinks it will hike interest rates to ward off exploding credit growth and high inflation, but it's exit from QE might be the very trigger that causes it. In which case, every hike of interest rates will increase inflation, and the Fed will chase its own tail back to double-digit inflation.

I don't think that scenario is very likely, the former scenario makes more sense given the weight of evidence. Still, the Fed itself isn't sure about what's going to happen. It doesn't even know if QE worked.
Evaluating the effects of monetary policy is difficult, even in the case of conventional interest rate policy. With unconventional monetary policy, the difficulty is magnified, as the economic theory can be lacking, and there is a small amount of data available for empirical evaluation. With respect to QE, there are good reasons to be skeptical that it works as advertised, and some economists have made a good case that QE is actually detrimental.
Quantitative Easing: How Well Does This Tool Work?

Thursday, October 26, 2017

Thetan Hunters of the West

DR3 or "Dems aRe the Real Racists" is an alt-right term mocking conservatives and cuckservatives.

Since racism is a term invented, defined and used by the left, anyone employing it is advancing a leftist agenda. (We're all leftists in America since about 1770, if not 1860. The South lost because it also accepts the leftism of 1770 and therefore cannot win against Yankees taking the leftism of 1770 to its logical conclusion. Neoreaction and redpilling are about waking up from this leftist world and seeing it through new eyes.) Racism narrowly defined as irrational bigotry and hate aimed at a group of people is not what the term describes. In almost every modern usage, it assumes some degree of equality that adheres to Blank Slate principles. If you judge individuals on the content of their character (as MLK said) and know that the Blank Slate is false, you are a racist.

Racism today is a far broader and nebulous term from the outside. If we use left-wing, progressive, college professor definitions though, it approximates to "being white." Minorities can't be racist and concepts such as "white privilege" are designed so that non-existent invisible racism can be described as some unconscious or subconscious force that even "Good Whites" don't realize exists within them. The Thetans in Scientology are a good approximation. These are souls of aliens destroyed in a horrific extermination campaign and they cling to the human soul, causing many emotional and psychological problems. Scientologists advance to a stage where they clear their bodies of Thetans. I am not joking when I say that believing in Thetans is less harmful than "white privilege." Snake oil is better than arsenic. Thetans are causing as many psychological problems as "white privilege" is causing oppression, but Thetans aren't screwing up society.

DR3 is tough to get away from though, because the implied logic of progressive beliefs reveals an ultra-supremacist belief system. Anti-whiteness is the keystone to the whole system. Progressives hate whites and whiteness (Christians), and everything is defined in opposition to this. This gives their belief system its own internal "logic" that operates like a crimestop or an abort code. When you reach a paradox or logical impossibility, stop the program and return to anti-white or insert anti-white into the code. Then continue.

But what if you don't accept that progressivism starts from anti-whiteness? If you take anti-whiteness out of the code, the program goes haywire.

Those Who Can See says in Governments Are Us
These days, things have gone so far that we're being told that not letting masses of Mexicans or Africans into our countries is the equivalent of turning away the Jews in 1940, or runaway slaves in 1840.

This is an astounding statement. Forcing a Mexican to be governed by other Mexicans, or a Senegalese to be governed by other Senegalese, is akin to committing genocide upon them. What a statement on the governing abilities of Mexicans or Senegalese! Perhaps Jefferson was onto something after all…
Without anti-whiteness, progressives have to believe foreign nations and foreign cultures are equivalent to Nazi Germany or the worst plantation that ever existed, run by a sadist who beat and tortured slaves for his own amusement. These cultures are riddled with hate, racism, genocide, crime, incest. Whatever vile thing you can think of, that is normal daily life in the Third World.

For those victims who leave and enter the West, Progressives teach them that they've gone from the frying pan into the fire. They will be targeted for abuse that exceeds the evils of their native land. They also don't belong in America. Progressives indoctrinate them in their Otherness. Multiculturalism and diversity are needed precisely because these foreign genocidal demons do not fit into WEIRD countries. "You're never going to assimilate brownie!" We have to carve out special positions for them, otherwise they'll be excluded.

The assault on Whiteness will never end because minorities can never become white. They are forever inferior in this model. The Liberal White Supremacist, the Baizuo, is their savior, their only hope for salvation. It isn't DR3 to the max, it is white man's burden and white supremacy to the max. The white man's burden assumed that it was white's duty to lift up these people to the level of whites. Progressives don't believe it is ever possible to raise them up so long as "Bad Whites" exist.

DR3 fails because it is a blue pill cul-de-sac, it teases a red pill and then pulls it away. DR3 is too far downstream of the problem to be an effective solution, or even very effective rhetoric because it contains too much of the blue pill. The red pill cuts through to the core. "Bad whites," "white privilege" and "Racism" are the Thetans of progressivism and equality. After taking the red pill, you can see that you are clear of Thetans (white guilt). But unlike a cult preying on wealthy idiots in Hollywood, this cult runs the universities, the media and government. Lunatics with the fervor of fundamentalists are destroying the very foundations of civilization in their hunt for Thetans.

Wednesday, October 25, 2017

Bigger Than Watergate: Bushes, Clinton, Obama, FBI, NSA, Russia Collude Against Trump

Bushes fund oppo research on Trump. Maybe they even cook up the Russia dossier. Clinton buys it at some point.

If the story ends there, there's no there there. Mudslinging and lies against an opponent are par for the course in American politics. One can find them morally reprehensible, but not criminal.

The story doesn't end though. The document is shopped around, perhaps by McCain or various Democrats.

The FBI or intelligence agencies possibly use the document as an excuse to wiretap/investigate Trump.

Susan Rice unmasks (spies) on Americans based on this document.

Multiple intelligence agencies investigate Trump based on this document.

If at any point anyone in this story knows it was a lie, they are guilty of violations that blow away anything Nixon did or even was accused of.

If only the Bushes knew, they come off as scum for not alerting the intelligence agencies and FBI.

The Clintons knew it was fake and at least lied to the media.

We don't know what Susan Rice, President Obama, James Comey and various other players knew or when they did know it.

Democrat and Republican Senators pushed for investigations based on lies. If any of them knew the document was fake, they should be impeached.

What did they know?

When did they know it?

Byron York: After Trump dossier revelation, FBI is next
The new Clinton/DNC/Perkins Coie revelation will likely increase pressure on the FBI to explain what it did, and did not do, with the dossier. Certainly Nunes hopes that is the case. When I asked Nunes Tuesday night what would happen next with the FBI, he responded, "Their best option at this point is to bring all the documents tomorrow to the Capitol."

Of course, he won't be holding his breath.

Republican investigators had two big questions about the dossier. One was who paid for it, and that now seems answered. The other was: Did the FBI or other agencies use any information from the dossier as a basis for warrant requests before the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court? In other words, did, say, the FBI use the dossier's "salacious and unverified" information to make the case that the bureau should be granted the authority to conduct intercepts?

Nunes, as well as Grassley and Senate Judiciary Committee colleague Lindsey Graham, R-S.C., have been pushing for months for the FBI to answer that question. So far, they've gotten nothing.

Monday, October 23, 2017

The Meat of the Declaration

I did a find/replace of He with USG.
USG has refused its Assent to Laws, the most wholesome and necessary for the public good.

USG has forbidden its Governors to pass Laws of immediate and pressing importance, unless suspended in their operation till his Assent should be obtained; and when so suspended, has utterly neglected to attend to them.

USG has refused to pass other Laws for the accommodation of large districts of people, unless those people would relinquish the right of Representation in the Legislature, a right inestimable to them and formidable to tyrants only.

USG has called together legislative bodies at places unusual, uncomfortable, and distant from the depository of their Public Records, for the sole purpose of fatiguing them into compliance with his measures.

USG has dissolved Representative Houses repeatedly, for opposing with manly firmness its invasions on the rights of the people.

USG has refused for a long time, after such dissolutions, to cause others to be elected, whereby the Legislative Powers, incapable of Annihilation, have returned to the People at large for their exercise; the State remaining in the mean time exposed to all the dangers of invasion from without, and convulsions within.

USG has endeavoured to prevent the population of these States; for that purpose obstructing the Laws for Naturalization of Foreigners; refusing to pass others to encourage their migrations hither, and raising the conditions of new Appropriations of Lands.

USG has obstructed the Administration of Justice by refusing his Assent to Laws for establishing Judiciary Powers.

USG has made Judges dependent on his Will alone for the tenure of their offices, and the amount and payment of their salaries.

USG has erected a multitude of New Offices, and sent hither swarms of Officers to harass our people and eat out their substance.

USG has kept among us, in times of peace, Standing Armies without the Consent of our legislatures.

USG has affected to render the Military independent of and superior to the Civil Power.

USG has combined with others to subject us to a jurisdiction foreign to our constitution, and unacknowledged by our laws;
giving his Assent to their Acts of pretended Legislation:

For quartering large bodies of armed troops among us:

For protecting them, by a mock Trial from punishment for any Murders which they should commit on the Inhabitants of these States:

For cutting off our Trade with all parts of the world:

For imposing Taxes on us without our Consent:

For depriving us in many cases, of the benefit of Trial by Jury:

For transporting us beyond Seas to be tried for pretended offences:

For abolishing the free System of English Laws in a neighbouring Province, establishing therein an Arbitrary government, and enlarging its Boundaries so as to render it at once an example and fit instrument for introducing the same absolute rule into these Colonies

For taking away our Charters, abolishing our most valuable Laws and altering fundamentally the Forms of our Governments:

For suspending our own Legislatures, and declaring themselves invested with power to legislate for us in all cases whatsoever.

USG has abdicated Government here, by declaring us out of his Protection and waging War against us.

USG has plundered our seas, ravaged our coasts, burnt our towns, and destroyed the lives of our people.

USG is at this time transporting large Armies of foreign Mercenaries to compleat the works of death, desolation, and tyranny, already begun with circumstances of Cruelty & Perfidy scarcely paralleled in the most barbarous ages, and totally unworthy the head of a civilized nation.

USG has constrained our fellow Citizens taken Captive on the high Seas to bear Arms against their Country, to become the executioners of their friends and Brethren, or to fall themselves by their Hands.

USG has excited domestic insurrections amongst us, and has endeavoured to bring on the inhabitants of our frontiers, the merciless Indian Savages whose known rule of warfare, is an undistinguished destruction of all ages, sexes and conditions.

In every stage of these Oppressions We have Petitioned for Redress in the most humble terms: Our repeated Petitions have been answered only by repeated injury. A Prince, whose character is thus marked by every act which may define a Tyrant, is unfit to be the ruler of a free people.

Thursday, October 19, 2017

Stephen Miller Is A Bad "American"

Zilu: The Duke of Wei has asked for your opinion in how to rule his realm. He’ll call you for an audience any time. What will be the first thing you tell him?

Confucius: Oh, that he must fix the names.

Zilu: What? That? Oh come on, master, what does that even mean. “Fix the names”. I don’t get it.

Confucius: Shut up, you stupid brat, and listen. It is like this. If the names aren’t correct, what you speak becomes nonsense. If you speak nonsense, you can’t get things done. If you don’t get things done, you can’t get the rituals to work. If the rituals don’t work, the law isn’t applied as it should. If the law isn’t applied as it should, the people can’t make a productive living. When a ruler names something, he must be able to make sense when talking about it. And when talking about it, he must be able to do what he means.
The title of the prior post is Stephen Miller Is A Bad "Jew". Jewish leftists have redefined Judaism as leftism. This is a good bait and switch because if you attack Jews you are an anti-semite. Something like #FakeJews is a meme waiting to happen on the Jewish #AltRight. Also We Predicted It: The New Generation Of Nationalists Support Israel. A rectification of names is coming.

A much bolder gambit is underway from the cuckservatives. George Will tries to redefine America and says: Trump rejecting Lincoln’s affirmation of Founders’ vision. He even concludes by effectively calling Stephen Miller a bad "American."
With Trump turning and turning in a widening gyre, his crusade to make America great again is increasingly dominated by people who explicitly repudiate America’s premises. The faux nationalists of the “alt-right” and their fellow travelers like Stephen Bannon, although fixated on protecting America from imported goods, have imported the blood-and-soil ethno-tribalism that stains the continental European right. In “Answering the Alt-Right” in National Affairs quarterly, Ramon Lopez, a University of Chicago Ph.D. candidate in political philosophy, demonstrates how Trump’s election has brought back to the public stage ideas that a post-Lincoln America had slowly but determinedly expunged. They were rejected because they are incompatible with an open society that takes its bearing from the Declaration of Independence’s doctrine of natural rights.

With their version of the identity politics practiced by progressives, alt-right theorists hold that the tribalism to which people are prone should not be transcended but celebrated. As Lopez explains, the alt-right sees society as inevitably “a zero-sum contest among fundamentally competing identity groups.” Hence the alt-right is explicitly an alternative to Lincoln’s affirmation of the Founders’ vision. They saw America as cohesive because of a shared creed. The alt-right must regard Lincoln as not merely mistaken but absurd in describing America as a creedal nation dedicated to a “proposition.” The alt-right insists that real nationhood requires cultural homogeneity rooted in durable ethnic identities. This is the alt-right’s alternative foundation for the nation Lincoln said was founded on the principle that all people are, by nature, equal.
Will gets much wrong here.

Power is a zero sum game. The more powerful the state becomes, the more zero sum games like economics become (because the state invades every corner of your life). Cuckservatives like Will failed to stop the growth of the state, which is the only way to reduce the influence of zero sum political games. The trajectory of debt and entitlement spending says the whole nation will become a zero sum game within a generation or two because how this debt is defaulted on will greatly determine how wealth is redistributed.

Lincoln wanted to send former slaves back to Africa. Few abolitionists considered blacks equal to whites. The Founders fundamentally understood that people were not equal. A flowery turn of phrase does not make a creed anymore than a poem makes immigration policy. If Will is talking about equality in broader terms than "equality before the law" and other limited concepts, he is a communist.

Will doesn't understand the Alt-Right. The red pill doesn't say that tribalism replaces a "creed," but that most people who believe in this creed are from certain ethnic backgrounds. Some on the Alt-Right descend into base tribalism, but Will isn't impressing by smashing pinatas. The American creed is not universal, but tribal. If you believe in a creedal nation, then there should be some test for adherence to the creed. Do you support property rights? Do you support free speech? Do you support gun ownership? If George Will goes on an anti-communist rampage then I will believe him. Instead, he believes in a creed whose adherents are 80-90% white, who overwhelmingly vote Republican every election, and which is increasingly losing its place in American society as progressive ideology replaces it.

It's true that many on the Alt-Right (in the broadest sense of the term) reject the creed in part or in whole. However, it's not clear that a creedal America couldn't survive by turning the ratchet right. Any "creedal" "proposition nation" conservative could out-flank the Alt-Right or at least create a viable alternative. Launch a political inquisition against people who disagree with the Founders. Such a campaign might remove a healthy chunk of Scandanavian, Italian, Irish, Jewish, African, Asian and Latin American immigrants and their descendants either physically through deportation, or politically through a new standard for participation in politics. Will proposes no defense of the creed though. All he does is strike out at former allies who have taken the red pill and realized the end of Will's road is the death of America, the death of the creed, and possibly a gulag. "You guys are just like the progressives!" Yes, the progressives won George. Identity politics dominates now because of diversity. The overlap between identity and ideology is large. If you act on your beliefs, Mr. Will, you will become Alt-Right. If you do not, you are a cuckservative surrendering the field to progressives. The Alt-Right is inevitable.

The attempt at redefining America as post-Lincoln equality has already failed. George Will and other cuckservatives are selling a dead parrot. Whatever name you give a dead parrot, it's still dead.

Sunday, October 15, 2017

Stephen Miller Is A Bad "Jew"

Can American Jews Be White Nationalists?
“I think it was growing up in California, he saw the role that mass migration played turning a red state blue,” one unidentified former Senate colleague of Miller told Politico Magazine. “He was fearful that that would happen to the rest of the country.” Miller would hardly be alone in fearing how Hispanic immigration will change America. But these were the same fears that the restrictionists of yesteryear raised about Stephen Miller’s ancestors.
1. Americans feared Jewish immigration
2. Jews gained power and immediately used it to change America in their own interest, confirming their fears
2. Jews are undermining America today through immigration policy
3. Americans are racist for noticing Jews are undermining America with mass immigration
4. Stephen Miller is a bad Jew because he is a good American restricting immigration

The article has to be read to be believed. It contains gems such as this:
American Jews, then, have something of a communal obligation to pay it forward by supporting a liberal immigration regime. And by and large we have: Jews and Jewish organizations are very pro-immigration. This implied social responsibility doesn’t necessarily entail support for open borders. Nor does it apply to other parts of the world; continued mass Muslim immigration from North Africa and the Middle East into Europe, for example, is a portentous development that will make Jewish life there, already difficult, increasingly so. But an American Jew calling for a drastic reduction in legal immigration to America is unseemly.
What this paragraph tells you is that Jews are not Americans. An assimilated American would write:
American Jews, then, have something of a communal obligation to pay it forward by opposing a liberal immigration regime. They have a duty to help the people who welcomed them with open arms. This implied social responsibility doesn’t necessarily entail support for mass deportations. But an American Jew calling for a drastic reduction in legal immigration to America is a true patriot.
Jews see that they've profited off their hosts and think they owe help to other foreigners, not their fellow Americans. You have to be a foreigner in your heart of hearts to have this line of thinking. In contrast, Stephen Miller and other patriotic Jews are Americans first who think like us because they are us.

Jewish thinking on immigration in a nutshell: America gives Jews $100 out of charity and Jews must "pay it forward" by finding more people to whom America is supposed to give $100.

Friday, October 13, 2017

Toyota Camry: The Esperanto of Automobiles

Steve Sailer notices Toyota isn't interested in white consumers.

The "Transcultural Mainstream"
“There is no Caucasian market,” said Mark Turner, chief strategy officer of Saatchi & Saatchi, who is white. “The mainstream market as defined by any mass marketer like Toyota actually comprises many different cultures, so we’re not the Caucasian agency. We’re the agency that caters to the transcultural mainstream.”
Leftist says, "White people don't have a culture." To a certain degree, this is like a fish not realizing it swims in the ocean. It doesn't know it is wet. Many Americans don't realize they have a culture. To them, culture is tradition, culture is foreign, culture is different. American culture has been sliced and diced and packaged and sold internationally. It is easy to think you have no culture when it has so thoroughly conquered the globe that you don't realize you've colonized much of it. McDonald's is American. Coca-Cola is American. The American version of Santa Claus will be in Chinese shopping malls come December. Also, you've so abandoned tradition and unique American traits that your only connection to culture is through McDonald's, popular culture, movies and music. What the rest of the world also has. People who say America has no culture mean "I have no culture." (Ironic because people who say that tend to be hyper-white SWPLs who are so WEIRD it makes minorities uncomfortable.)

This brief moment of global colonization and domestic fracturing will pass quickly. White identity is already growing because it is clearly distinguishable from "transculture," but more specifically the components such as black culture. Up until the late 1980s, most black musicians served a white-dominated market. If you wanted to be very popular, you had to appeal to an audience that was 80% white. In TV shows from the 70s and 80s, black characters were mainly shown interacting with whites or "presenting white" by themselves. Integration culminated with the Cosby Show. Then at some point in the 1990s, you might think KKK writers infiltrated black media. Today, forced diversity results in black culture infiltrating "popular" culture so thoroughly that whites are turned off. In less than two generations, culture went from integrating blacks into majority white culture, to whites being reverse-colonized. It took less than a generation to go from Will Smith as pop culture movie star to some affirmative action actor being forced into Star Wars and now Pacific Rim.

Whites now experience what minorities feel living in a foreign culture. The Left celebrates this with "Suck it whitey! Your time is done!" They neglect the history: as soon as it was possible, minorities created their own cultural products.

The destruction of the mainstream is underway. Brands can stick with acultural messages such as quality, acultural symbols such as puppies (tricked you: what about the Muslims?), or fracture their advertising. The Toyota Camry became popular for quality. Sales boomed all over the world. Now Saatchi & Saatchi are selling it as the Esperanto of automobiles to whites. If Ford or Chevy can figure out how to make a quality sedan and re-purpose their pick-up truck advertising, they have an opening.

Wednesday, October 11, 2017

Poles Put Christian Nationalism Into Action

Poland Prays: Hundreds of Thousands Participate in ‘Rosary to the Borders’
Hundreds of thousands of Polish Catholics gathered around the country’s 2,000 miles of borders, around its Baltic coastline, and in Polish airports to pray the Rosary for peace, for Poland and for Europe. Alongside last year’s edition of World Youth Day in Krakow, “The Rosary to the Borders,” held Oct. 7, is one of the biggest religious events in Europe in recent years. Many Poles also prayed the Rosary in their homes, and the Catholics in several other countries also took part.

“The Rosary to the Borders” is the initiative of Maciej Bodasiński and Lech Dokowicz of the Solo Dios Basta Foundation. Their intention was to gather as many Catholics as possible to surround Poland’s borders and pray the Rosary to protect their homeland, Europe and the world at a time when the nefarious influence of secularism is growing and violent conflicts rage in many places.

Friday, October 06, 2017

David Brooks Is Learning: Guns as Identity

Guns and the Soul of America
The real reason the gun rights side is winning is postindustrialization. The gun issue has become an epiphenomenon of a much larger conflict over values and identity.
A century ago, the forces of industrialization swept over agricultural America, and monetary policy became the proxy fight in that larger conflict. Today, people in agricultural and industrial America legitimately feel that their way of life is being threatened by postindustrial society. The members of this resistance have seized on issues like guns, immigration, the flag as places to mobilize their counterassault. Guns are a proxy for larger issues.

Four in 10 American households own guns. As Hahrie Han, a political science professor, noted in The Times Wednesday, there are more gun clubs and gun shops in this country than McDonald’s. For many people, the gun is a way to protect against crime. But it is also an identity marker. It stands for freedom, self-reliance and the ability to control your own destiny. Gun rights are about living in a country where families are tough enough and responsible enough to stand up for themselves in a dangerous world.
Brooks' solution is a "new synthesis," which is all well and good if you think it's possible to keep the USA united. Although he thinks of it in terms of rednecks and hipsters, aka America 1980. Guns are becoming a proxy for white and white-presenting identity against a non-white America that mostly opposes it. The hipsters seeks the destruction of rednecks via immigration.

He's absolutely correct in describing guns and gun rights as an identity issue. Leftists would do well to consider guns as the right's gay issue. It's socially acceptable to call for reversing gun rights, whereas the Right can only try to stop the advance of gay/trans "rights," but legislatively the Left's anti-gun rhetoric results in even stronger pro-gun legislation because it's one area where the Right will counter-attack. Cuck Ryan shelved H.R.367 - Hearing Protection Act of 2017 ( bill that will eliminate a federal tax on suppressors) after the Las Vegas shooting, The odds of it eventually passing have gone up though.

Wednesday, October 04, 2017

White Flight Goes National

No comment necessary.

Catalan Vote Inspires Brazil’s Southern Separatist Movement
Inspired by the separatist vote in Catalonia, secessionists in three wealthy southern Brazilian states are redoubling their efforts to break away from the crisis-battered nation.

Residents of Rio Grande do Sul, Santa Catarina and Parana states are being called to vote in an informal plebiscite on Oct. 7 on whether they want independence. Organizers are also urging residents of the three states to sign a legislative proposal for each of their regional assemblies that would call for a formal, binding referendum. The non-profit group "The South is My Country" aims to mobilize a million voters in 900 out of the region’s 1,191 cities.

Whiter and richer than the rest of Brazil, these southern states with cooler weather have long nursed separatist ambitions.

Friday, September 29, 2017

Christian Nationalist America

Yesterday, I tossed out a protest idea centered around Christianity and the public square. Today, the news reports two more attacks on Christian symbols.

Bible Verse on Bench In Memory of Virginia Teen Must Be Removed
They decided to highlight his love for baseball and installed a bench next to the baseball field at his school, Randolph Henry High.

According to television station WSET, included on the bench is a scripture from Philippians 4:13 which reads, "I can do all things through Christ who strengthens me."

But the Charlotte County School Board said the Bible verse is a violation of school policy and must be removed from the bench.
No one complained, but the school's lawyers think it should go.

Federal judge rules cross on Lehigh County seal is unconstitutional
A federal judge ruled Thursday the large yellow cross at the center of Lehigh County’s seal violated the Constitution, which will likely force the seal’s redesign.

In a 23-page decision, Judge Edward Smith begrudgingly ruled in favor of The Freedom From Religion Foundation, a Wisconsin-based organization that promotes the separation of church and state.

In 2014 and 2015, the foundation threatened to sue Lehigh County if it did not remove the cross from the seal. The cross’ presence, it argued, violated the Establishment Clause, which forbids government from favoring one faith over others or prohibiting religious practice.

Stephen Meholic, David Simpson, John Berry and Candace Winkler — all Lehigh County residents and members of the foundation — joined the suit as plaintiffs. The four testified that they were opposed to the seal or found it unwelcome or offensive, according to court documents.

Commissioners refused to back down to the threats. In a resolution unanimously passed in 2016, commissioners argued the cross needed to be viewed in historical context. The cross, they said, represented the Christian settlers who colonized the region. The foundation filed suit last year as a result.

In his ruling, Smith said the cross was a passive symbol that did not coerce anyone into adopting Christianity or establish a county religion. However, existing case law required him to find that the county was honoring the settlers because they were Christians, which violates the Establishment Clause.

“This welcome ruling should settle the matter and get the seal redesigned to be inclusive, to ensure that it does not continue to send a message that only Christian citizens are represented or welcome,” she said.
It makes much more sense to remove those people from Lehigh County, if they are so offended by their neighbors. The Lehigh Commissioners should take a page from Judge Roy Moore and design an even more "offensive" symbol.

In any event, if you can't defend a widely popular symbol, you'll fail at defending less popular symbols such as Confederate statues.

Thursday, September 28, 2017

A Movie Everyone on the Alt-Right Should Watch

Stone of Destiny a great pro-nationalist movie made in 2008. It tells the story of Ian Hamilton and the heist of the Stone of Scone from Westminster Abbey.
The Stone, originally used for the coronation of Scottish monarchs, had been removed to England by Edward I in 1296 to bolster his claim to the throne of Scotland. After the Acts of Union 1707 between Scotland and England, it was used for the coronation of British monarchs. As such, Hamilton's action in returning the Stone to Scotland was applauded as a symbolic triumph for Scottish nationalism. The Stone was turned over to the Church of Scotland, which surrendered it to English authorities in April 1951. Hamilton and his accomplices were charged, but never prosecuted. The Stone was eventually returned to Scotland in 1996, with provision for subsequent use in the coronation of British monarchs.
According to the film, the act revived nationalist sentiment in Scotland, which if true means it has lasting impact into the present day.

The Scottish example is applicable to the U.S. because there is an American identity that has been lost or re-purposed. Christian symbols are snuffed out. One idea I had after watching the movie was to erect a cross on public land (the best would be ground that used to be Christian and now isn't) in an politically unfriendly city, but possibly religiously friendly one (such as Irish Catholic filled Boston or maybe a very left-wing city in the South). The toughs who want a physical confrontation can keep the Antifa away. The goal would be to keep the cross erect for as long as possible, to inspire massive support to keep the cross erect, and inspire more crosses to go up around the nation. Invite Christians of all denominations to pray at the cross and help form a human shield when the police eventually come to tear it down. It could be done as an "MIT-level" prank, erecting an extremely heavy cross or in such a way that authorities needs days to disassemble it. No violence except to protect the faithful. Prayers of intercession on behalf of the United States of America, asking Jesus to heal our nation and help restore it to order.

Occam's Laser Hits the Ferguson Effect

Sometimes I wonder if I'm not buying into my own narrative of the world too much. Humans are prone to narratives for a reason. Wisdom and history were passed down for centuries in stories. It's easy to stretch a narrative beyond its limits and see connections where they don't belong or where the connection may exist, but more relevant factors are obscured. Robert Conquest's law is true: Everyone is conservative about what he knows best. Find a wacko leftist and engage them in a discussion about their professional field, and watch the insanity disappear. The most frustrating and scary thing about leftism is how you can engage a leftist in completely honest conversation and find lots of common ground on a topic removed from politics (such as doctors arguing over the best cancer drug to use for a certain class of patients), but they want to send you to reeducation camps when the topics broaden into politics. (The insane (pure?) leftists work in the opposite direction, trying to inject politics into everything.)

Even a very political field such as climate science is ultimately an objective question. There's nothing political about the truth of human influence on the climate, nothing political about measuring it against other goals. Only once we have all of that sorted and decide to act, or not act, does it start to become political. The Left wants to jump the gun because for the Left, everything in life is political. The Left turns school lunches, and even what's in children's bagged lunch from home, into political issues. It is easy to get lost in the Left's insanity.

A bad narrative shoehorns everything into the narrative, rather that accepting limits. It eventually turns into a fairy tale because its failure to predict requires replacing fact for fiction. The worst narratives eventually stop denying reality and reject facts entirely (the Soviet economy).

A good narrative is more like a scientific hypothesis. That's how I approach certain ideas such as the cycle theories of history. Can I make some predictions based on this theory? If yes, predict. Bet. Invest. Put skin in the game and see what happens. The more skin I can put in the game, the more I like the theory. I made a handsome sum in the 2016 election thanks to what could be called narrative or theory convergence. The more theories with similar predictions made from different sources, the better the odds.

Sometimes we can't bet, but we can parse the data. A lot has been made of the Ferguson Effect:
The Ferguson effect is a term referring to what its proponents claim is a causal link to increases in crime rates in a number of major U.S. cities, due to police forces being subject to heightened levels of scrutiny. The term has been criticized by some academics and politicians, including President Barack Obama
This is a bit of a nebulous theory, it involves ideas such as the police not working as hard while on the job. It sounds like the theory that the mortgage meltdown was caused by diversity and pushing for minority home ownership. That was a part of the overall picture, but its not the reason. You can't pull out a chart of home prices or the collapse and pinpoint changes in diversity on the chart.

With the Ferguson Effect, a rise in crime could be related to rising immigration, demographics, changes in sentencing, a whole host of issues. Pinpointing a single cause is close to impossible. Except in this case, it's so precise we are using Occam's Laser.
Sailer writes:
As I point out below, the latest Chicago surge in murders began in January 2016, immediately after or coinciding with four BLM-driven triumphs of liberalism over the Chicago Police Department from late November 2015 to early January 2016.

But Chicago is murky compared to Baltimore, where the current high rate of homicides can be dated to April 27, 2015, the day of the BLM riot over Freddie Gray’s death. This may be the single most clear-cut case in the history of social science.

Keeping Up With Reaction

Thanks to Nick B Steves and the TWiR staff for the '“Official” #NRx Best of the Week Honorable Mention' this week.

This Week In Reaction is one of the best weekly updates anywhere. It takes a week to digest all linked posts and articles. If you read only one post in Neoreaction each week, make it TWiR.

And if you missed a week, or a few, or dozens, don't worry. Neoreaction has a low time preference, TWiR stays fresh for years.

Tuesday, September 26, 2017

David Brooks Is Trolling Now

Maybe I have been too harsh on Mr. Brooks.

A plain reading of his latest The Abbie Hoffman of the Right: Donald Trump makes it seem like he's very close to the truth, but oh so far.

A more charitable reading is he realizes he lives among the wackos and delivering a ounce of Truth requires a dump truck of "Donald Trump is a buffoon."

After World War II the Protestant establishment dominated the high ground of American culture and politics. That establishment eventually failed. It tolerated segregation and sexism, led the nation into war in Vietnam and became stultifying.

So in the late 1960s along came a group of provocateurs like Abbie Hoffman, Jerry Rubin and the rest of the counterculture to upend the Protestant establishment. People like Hoffman were buffoons, but also masters of political theater.

They never attracted majority support for their antics, but they didn’t have to. All they had to do was provoke, offend the crew-cut crowd, generate outrage and set off a cycle that ripped apart the cultural consensus.

...That’s exactly what he’s doing. Donald Trump came into a segmenting culture and he is further tearing apart every fissure. He has a nose for every wound in the body politic and day after day he sticks a red-hot poker in one wound or another and rips it open.
If we consider the audience in question, painting Trump as the villain is the way to go. But in reality, he's compared the establishment to a collapsing regime. They're headed for the trash bin and there's really nothing they can do about it. Nowhere in this piece say what the Protestant establishment should have done...
The members of the educated class saw this past weekend’s N.F.L. fracas as a fight over racism. They felt mobilized and unified in that fight and full of righteous energy. Members of the working class saw the fracas as a fight about American identity. They saw Pittsburgh Steelers coach Mike Tomlin try to dissuade Alejandro Villanueva, a three-time combat veteran, from celebrating the flag he risked his life for. Members of this class also felt mobilized, unified and full of righteous energy.

I don’t know which planet is bigger, or which would win an election, but that frankly doesn’t matter. All that matters is that Trump is shredding the culture and ending the dominance of the meritocratic establishment.
He continually goes after racial matters in part because he’s a bigot but also in part because multiculturalism is the theology of the educated class and it’s the leverage point he can most effectively use to isolate the educated class from everyone else.

He is so destructive because his enemies help him. He ramps up the aggression. His enemies ramp it up more, to preserve their own dignity. But the ensuing cultural violence only serves Trump’s long-term destructive purpose. America is seeing nearly as much cultural conflict as it did in the late 1960s. It’s quite possible that after four years of this Trump will have effectively destroyed the prevailing culture. The reign of the meritocratic establishment will be just as over as the reign of the Protestant establishment now is.
Remember, he's writing to the NYTimes audience. He's telling them they will be completely laid waste in 4 years.
Of course Donald Trump is a buffoon. Buffoonery is his most effective weapon. Because of him, a new culture will have to be built, new values promulgated and a new social fabric will have to be woven, one that brings the different planets back into relation with one another.

That’s the work of the next 20 years.
Is David Brooks giving up The Resistance? Or is he trolling his NYTimes audience? There's no way (short of effectively resigning his NYTimes column) Brooks could lay the entirety of the blame where it belongs, on the establishment. Maybe he can make "Donald Trump the Buffoon" into a recurring joke as he skewers the collapse of progressive orthodoxy.

The bad news for everyone, not only Mr. Brooks, is that the next 20 years will be a continuation of the past 2 years. This isn't the 1960s, but the 1860s. This isn't a phase transition from one leadership class into another. This is Civil War. Secession is on the table. The Progressive are like Abolitionists, they will not allow one-half of the nation to live in peace. Unity is only possible if they are stopped.

Culture War: Trapped in Satan's OODA Loop

Trump is a political genius. After suffering a string of defeats, gaining no traction on the wall and even seeming to favor amnesty, he was quickly losing support from his base. What does Trump do? Attack the NFL. It's the same strategy he used during the campaign. It works because American politics is tribal now. It works because the Cathedral can't help but pile on. The media is destroying its cash cow, the NFL. Media outlets that have paid billions for broadcast rights are leading the charge. With a throwaway tweet, Trump can troll the establishment and convince them to annihilate hundreds of millions in market valuation. (It would be interesting to quantify the damage Trump has inflicted on the media and the NFL, by now it is probably into 9 figures considering intangibles such as brand. We'll know for sure next time the broadcast rights are up. How does Amazon feel about paying $50 million for Thursday night streaming rights, when Twitter only paid $10 million last year?)

The cynic in me wants to say, "It's not rational! He's distracting you with the shiny while he stabs you in the back!" Except, it is rational because in a Culture War, your only options are to fight or Exit. America is trapped inside Satan's OODA loop, circling the drain in a never-ending battle for position within an increasingly fractured polity. Every stupid battle over meaningless minutiae represents an opportunity for advance on the battlefield. Furthermore, the enemy is even more invested in status. A victory for the Right causes far more damage on the Left. The asymmetry has drawn the energy of the Right into activities such as trolling.

Outgrouping the left's rabbits is difficult, but once the battle is turned, they collapse. The Cathedral launches "shock and awe" on every heretic, using government, courts, media and social pressure to achieve a minor victory such as getting a gay wedding cake baked. Even then, it sometimes only succeeds in creating a martyr. The Right is the guerrilla; Trump the Ayatollah. He lives in exile in his fortress of solitude, surrounded by enemies in the swamp. He lobs tweets (the Ayatollah used cassettes) and the guerrilla forces launch tactical strikes before blending back into the ocean of the silent majority. The raids cause terror and anxiety on the left. They feel like a dinghy in an ocean of racism and hate.

Once you're inside the Culture War though, can you find your way to Exit? The cultural Right is now "triggered" by the flag, military and statues the same way the left is triggered by sodomy, diversity and transgenderism. It is not enough for the left to tolerate homosexuals, one must celebrate them and everything they do. The right is not terribly different with its support for the military these days. The national anthem was seldom played at sporting events before WWII and the Cold War. A rational response would be to remove the anthem, denying the left an opportunity for Culture War. However, we're inside the loop. To stop playing the anthem now is to give in to the left. You can't go back to pre-WWII America because it is dead. If the national anthem isn't played at sporting events, most Americans might not hear it at all except maybe at a 4th of July fireworks display.

A nation needs a flag, a military, and a history. If nothing is sacred, then you don't have a nation. Which is why the trap of the Culture War is almost inescapable. Jockeying for status isn't meaningless when the national economy is deteriorating. When there's no more pie, or people believe there is no more pie, the only way to get a bigger slice is to take someone else's pie. This behavior shrinks the pie and you fight harder to defend your slice, and the pie shrinks, so you pour more resources into defending your slice, and down the nation goes. Like global thermonuclear war, the only way to win is to not play the game. It's nice to counter-strike, but the game will never end until the enemy's launch capability is permanently degraded.

Monday, September 25, 2017

A New Inquisition

Pope Francis, Fr. Martin, and Faith without Reason
We’re witnessing a period in which the Church is trying to have Faith without the full benefits of Reason. This is odd, in a way, because it’s usually thought that the only Christians who forsake reason are impossible-to-reason-with fundamentalists. In the current moment, we have a progressive group in Rome and beyond that seems to think that Reason in any strong sense distorts or even blocks Faith.

They know the outcomes they want and aren’t about to let the logical contradictions theologians, philosophers, or ordinary believers notice, stop them.

It’s an old philosophical truth that that once you abandon the principle of non-contradiction, you can prove anything. And here is proof positive.

For example, Father Antonio Spadaro, S.J., of La Civiltà Cattolica has argued that, as a good Jesuit, the Holy Father does not take something and explore its logical consequences, but instead looks directly at it and seeks inspiration of the Holy Spirit. Perhaps so (we can’t be sure that anyone really speaks the Holy Father’s mind).

But behold the confusions this leads to in the Church:

In Amoris Laetitia, as we’ve been told by various interpreters, sexual relations between the divorced/remarried are sometimes the best that can be done in the circumstances. That ceasing sexual relations may harm the family and the good of children.

But here’s another case: an industrialist makes gobs of money polluting the local environment (real pollution, not speculations about climate change). He’s confronted by a reader of Laudato Si’. He replies, however, that to clean up his plant would cripple him, probably leading to the departure of his wife and children, to say nothing of the damage to the families of workers he would have to lay off. So the best he can do under the circumstances is to regret those circumstances, seek to do better – someday, and – in the meantime – do nothing.
Where this is headed:
You only have to look at a figure like Aquinas to see that all that thinking is in the service of knowing and understanding the Beloved better, and seeking to do what He wills.

The alternative to this careful, patient, loving attention to the One who revealed himself in history, Scripture, tradition, the lives of holy men and women, and great Catholic thinkers is to substitute what you or I or someone else thinks Jesus was, or should have been.

That path now has a 500-year history. It even has a certain, if truncated logic of its own. But that logic isn’t Catholicism.
Is a new Inquisition on the way? Perhaps, when (if?) the West wakes up to its existential threats.

It was under this threat that the Pope authorized the Spanish Inquisition if it should be needed. Queen Isabella instituted it two years later. The specific threat that the Inquisition faced was the "conversos." Spain had been freed form Islamic control for only a few generations. Because no Jew or Muslim could hold a high position in the Christian kingdom many Jews and Muslims had converted to Christianity. Many of their descendents now held high positions both within the royal court and within the Church. (Isabella's confessor is one example.) Many of these conversions were matters of convenience and some continued to practice their original faith secretly. With good reason it was feared that these secret Muslims and Jews might betray the Spanish cities to the Turks. This situation also affected those who had sincerely converted since they were now publicly suspect.
Today, Muslims, Jews and Westerners openly call for the destruction of the West. No Inquisition is needed when their actions speak louder than words, but the institutions are also littered with people of questionable allegiances. Whose side are they on? As for the Church, who really believes in Catholic doctrine?

Sunday, September 17, 2017

The Filtering

Neoreaction is to politics as physics is to engineering. You can build any structure you like, but if you violate basic natural principles and you don't account for that in your structure, it will have a high risk of collapse. If nothing else, Neoreaction is about cutting to the core truths in politics.

An example from basic economics: price controls on certain items might create more political benefit than economic cost (healthcare, food, fuel, college education), but if the designer of the system doesn't understand economics, it will probably end up being both an economic and political disaster. Having a market-dominant minority in the country is very beneficial, but not understanding the history and downsides of it is a recipe for violence. It is easy to overlook the the problems because the systems can run for generations before the structural failure point is made obvious to the idiots.

Before Neoreaction, most of the "far right" understood that universal suffrage cannot protect property rights. Democracy is mob rule; letting people who do not produce vote away the resources of producers will always end badly, it's only a question of when the non-producers outnumber the producers and if the system gets junked before reaching the inevitable end stage. The problem then is where to draw the line, but wherever the line is drawn, there will always be a pull back towards universal suffrage because in an immediate battle for political advantage there will always be a high time preference politician willing to sacrifice long-term goals for short-term gain.

Neoreaction is also elitist in the most basic meaning, that of being focused on the "ruling class" (either the extant one or a new one) and having a high bar to membership. It is not easy to become worthy. Free Northerner explains:
Passivism is about seeking victory through building and preserving resources and taking battle after victory has been achieved. That is why it is called accepting power. If we become worthy, ie: if we build our power bases, legitimacy, and authority to the extent necessary, then when the time comes, there will be nothing to do but for the great man to accept what is rightfully his. Lord Monck will walk into London unopposed and restore the king to his rightful place.

Alternatively, the more resources we squander now and the less we build, the greater the fight and the lesser the odds of victory will be when the black swan flies.
He also explains how Cthulhu swims left:
Everybody likes to posit that some bogeyman composed of people they dislike is in charge and running, ruining, things behind the scenes because that is comforting. Even if a conspiracy is leading to disaster, at least we’re being led. Even if they are evil incarnate, at least they know what they’re doing and are leading society in a specific direction. It is comforting to know someone is in charge, even if we hate them.

But we’re not that lucky. There is no one who really knows what they’re doing and no one is in charge. Everybody has just a little bit of power, some have more some less, to accomplish tiny things, so nobody has any real power to accomplish anything. Our system is veiled anarchy.
You cannot escape the leftward drift of society until you figure out what moves it leftward. We can reduce/halt immigration and turn aspects of Sailer's "affordable family formation" into policy. Let's say they work and native people start having more children as the society moves rightward...what next? A repeat of the Baby Boomers? Leftward drift is like entropy. Just as Man (life) counteracts entropy in the universe, perhaps Cthulhu's leftward swim can only be stopped by a constant application of counteracting force. Perhaps a better names for him are sin, temptation and Satan.

In contrast, the Alt-Right is thoroughly populist and democratic. Its major issue at the moment is free speech. There is no real barrier to entry on the Alt-Right and it argues for an extreme right of speech that would be wholly alien to Southern honor and Yankee religion both. We can dial the clock back to the 18th and 19th Centuries and find pamphleteers running wild like social media shitposters, but we cannot find a society that enshrines this behavior into law. The Alt-Right is a contrarian reaction (in the most basic sense) to the Cathedral and also wholly within the Cathedral. Contrarian in the sense that some of Alt-Right oppose basic decency and respectability because the Cathedral imposes a perverted standard. Within the Cathedral because it's conception of free speech depends on leftward reinterpretations made during the 20th Century.

If Cthulhu always swims left, anything that is not outside of the Cathedral will be destroyed or assimilated. Filters will be broken down, tolerance wins. Populism rules. The tweet with the most likes always wins.

In order to swim right, we must have a filter. Where the left tends towards universal suffrage and chaos, the right tends towards monarchy and order. The Truth wins even if it has 300 million down votes.

Society falls apart is because Man lets it fall apart. Because he is not worthy. God will not stop the entropy until Judgement Day. Satan is the prince of this world.

Before you can become worthy of power, you must become worthy of civilization.

To become worthy of civilization, you must resist sin and temptation.

You must become worthy of God's grace.

Civilization will be rebuilt Man by Man, family by family, polity by polity, and only then will it be worthy of good leadership.



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