Monday, October 03, 2016

Bettors Say GOP Will Control Both Houses

Most people don't vote strategically and ticket-splitting has collapsed: Ticket splitting reached a 92 year low in 2012

You could make a case for greater ticket splitting in 2016 if there's a large number of GOP voters who will not vote Trump, but I read it as the markets disagreeing about the outcome. The Congressional market is pointing to a Trump victory.

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